Sunday, August 7, 2011

Treasury bond yields little changed in Asian trading despite U.S. downgrade

Interest rates on U.S. Treasury bonds were mixed in early Asian trading on Sunday, with short-term rates falling and longer-term rates rising as investors had their first opportunity to react to the government’s downgraded credit rating.

The moves in both directions were relatively modest.

The 10-year T-note yield edged up to 2.57% just after 6:15 p.m. PDT from Friday’s closing level of 2.56% in New York. The 30-year T-bond rose to 3.89% from 3.85%.

But the two-year T-note eased to a record low of 0.27% from 0.29% on Friday.

Noda As investors feared a global market rout on Sunday, finance ministers and central banks of the Group of Seven industrialized nations issued a statement pledging to "take all necessary measures to support financial stability and growth."

Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda told reporters that Treasuries remained an "attractive" investment. Japan owns more than $900 billion of U.S. debt.

Earlier, the European Central Bank said it would "actively" buy government bonds of euro-zone countries. The ECB is expected to target Italian and Spanish bonds, trying to avert a market panic that could further drive up those countries' borrowing costs and push them toward financial collapse.

In the U.S., analysts have been uncertain as to how global investors would react to Standard & Poor’s move late Friday to downgrade the U.S. government’s credit rating to AA+ from AAA -- the first time in history that America has lost its top-rung rating.

S&P cited concerns about the nation’s growing debt load and uncertainty about Washington’s willingness to rein-in borrowing.

Many on Wall Street argue that investors are unlikely to flee Treasuries, because even with the one-notch downgrade there still is no significant risk that the government would be unable to pay its bills.

What’s more, with the global economic recovery fading and stock markets stumbling, many investors seem likely to continue to turn to Treasuries as a haven. Stocks were broadly lower in early Asian trading Monday, with the Tokyo market off 1.3%, Sydney down 1% and Taipei off 1.7%.

U.S. bonds “will continue to serve their traditional role as a hedge” against riskier assets, money management giant BlackRock Inc. in New York said in a statement Sunday. There are “few genuine alternatives,” it said.

The firm, with $3.65 trillion in assets, said that “while a time may come when the credit risk-free status of Treasury bonds is diminished . . . we do not believe that the S&P downgrade signals that this moment has come now.”

-- Tom Petruno

RELATED:

S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating

What the U.S. downgrade may mean for markets

Memories of the stock market crash leave investors on edge

Geithner says he will stay on as Treasury Secretary into 2012

Photo: Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda speaks to reporters in Tokyo. Credit: Tomohiro Ohsumi / Bloomberg News

U.S. stock futures sink, gold rockets as markets reopen

U.S. stock index futures plunged in Asian trading Sunday, signaling what may happen when shares open for trading in New York on Monday, as investors reacted to the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and fresh worries about Europe’s government debt crisis.

Fears of a deep sell-off in financial markets also drove gold to a record high in electronic futures trading in New York.

Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 index were trading at 1,168 at about 4 p.m. PDT, a drop of 2.6% from Friday’s closing index value of 1,199.38.

The S&P had plummeted 7.2% last week as fears mushroomed over the outlook for the economy and financial system.

Gold futures jumped as high as $1,697 an ounce Sunday, a new high, then fell back to about $1,692.20, up $43.40, or 2.6% from Friday.

In other commodity trading, U.S. oil futures dived to $83.83 a barrel, down 3.5% from Friday’s close and the lowest since November.

In currency trading, the dollar fell against many of its major rivals, although the declines were relatively modest. The DXY index of the dollar’s value against six other major currencies, including the euro and the yen, fell 0.2% from Friday. The index had risen 1% last week.

The euro was at $1.431, up slightly from $1.428 on Friday, after the European Central Bank on Sunday pledged to buy euro-zone governments’ bonds in an attempt to avert panic selling.

RELATED:

S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating

What the U.S. downgrade may mean for markets

Memories of the stock market crash leave investors on edge

Geithner says he will stay on as Treasury secretary into 2012

-- Tom Petruno

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